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The Coffee Shop

  • Thread starter The Fallen Angel
  • Start date
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It looks like Dorian has decided not to come ashore in Florida - which is what many of our local forecasters were saying might happen - and is now expect to hit along the North/South Carolina border (that's Praefectus Praetorio territory). But, that won't be till Thursday and, as I'm sure PP knows, a prediction that far out is not very reliable.

A few years ago, Denis Phillips, one of our local TV forecasters came up with his 7 rules for hurricane season:
1. Storm track errors past 3 days are HUGE. Don't get caught up on forecasts that far out. You'll go crazy.

2. Models flip flop back and forth all the time. Look for trends, don't look at individual model runs.

3. If you didn't prepare in June (which you probably didn't), do so now. Check your hurricane kit and guide to see what YOU and your family
need.

4. Don't freak out.

5. Don't freak out. Ok? We live in Florida. It goes with the territory. The odds of a storm affecting us directly is usually low, and the track that the NHC now has, would probably lift Northeast and weaken considerably after passing Cuba. The track will change often. At this point, our chances of a direct strikes are EXTREMELY LOW. LET'S REPEAT THAT ONE, our chances of a direct strikes are EXTREMELY low.

6. KNOW that we will be there will you 24-7. You're going to hear a ton of information. It can get confusing. Stick with us. We won't steer you wrong.

7. Stop freaking out....until I tell you to. We're fine.
Authored by Denis Phillips


I think rules number 4 and 7 apply to Missouri floods too.
 
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